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Wednesday, May 11, 2011

A Tripple Dip for Housing?

I came across this article yesterday and though I would share it with the group. It would appear that recent changes in insurance for jumbo mortgages might have a rather drastic affect on the housing market.

Federal Retreat on Bigger Loans Rattles Housing

MONTEREY, Calif. — By summer’s end, buyers and sellers in some of the country’s most upscale housing markets are slated to lose one their biggest benefactors: the deep pockets of the federal government. In this seaside community of pricey homes, the dread of yet another housing shock is already spreading.

We’re looking at more price drops, more foreclosures,” said Rick Del Pozzo, a loan broker. “This snowball that’s been rolling downhill is going to pick up some speed.”

For the last three years, federal agencies have backed new mortgages as large as $729,750 in desirable neighborhoods in high-cost states like California, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and Massachusetts. Without the government covering the risk of default, many lenders would have refused to make the loans. With the economy in free fall, Congress broadened its traditionally generous support of housing to a substantial degree.


I hope the article was worth your time!

22 comments:

  1. Wow. Quite the little sell off in the markets yesterday! I'm aware the main short-term motivation behind that move was the instability in commodities, but that kind of consideration doesn't matter on the charts.

    Based on TA then, I was predicting that markets would go up for the next days, on Dan's Tuesday thread. This opinion was based on the bullish signal provided by the SP500 breaking back well above the 1350 line.

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  2. Obviously I was wrong, as the following trading session saw the index down as far as 1336.

    Therefore, I admit I'm clueless for the time being :D. Quite timely for me not to have any eager conviction right now, because I won't have much time for trading during the next few days/weeks.

    Meanwhile, I'll read your technical analysis updates with great interest.

    Take care all.

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  3. Morning all! Busy couple of days, but looks like I missed a significant drop yesterday and dropping again today? Interesting. This market still hasn't smashed through my previous top in any meaningful fashion and has yet to breach the OBL top from last week.

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  4. For me, the housing market is the giant canary in the coalmine that everyone is ignoring at their peril.

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  5. Adios Amigos!

    On our way to Spain and Portugal. Looking forward to a great trip and some relaxation. We will be looking around and asking discrete questions about the economy to see how well they are doing.

    We do have internet access in our hotels but it is not free, I will try and check in from time to time. I'll be on Wolfie's time zone, I think.

    See you right after Memorial Day. Maybe there will be some bargains to be had or we will be in new high territory.

    Bye!

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  6. Have a great trip, Denise! Am SOOOO jealous!

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  7. Wolfstreet (4:23) - "Therefore, I admit I'm clueless for the time being"

    Welcome to my world.

    Mutt

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  8. Thor - A couple weeks ago I read a simular article to the one you posted.

    What I have a hard time comperhending is, if someone can afford a $730,000 house why is the goberment...I mean TAX PAYER!!!! Covering the default?

    Take it a step further, why are we as tax payers being required to cover the default at all?

    If there is that much risk in making the loan - DON'T do it and by all means DON'T make the tax payer responsible for default.

    Anyway that is my belly ache of the morning.

    Mutt

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  9. Denise - Be sure to bring us back a surprise from your trip.

    Maybe a tee shirt or key chain.

    Have a great time

    Mutt

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  10. I'd capitulated on being "clueless" about the markets a long time ago. Welcome to the club, folks. It's actually a freeing feeling to admit this and accept it.

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  11. This might have SOME people longing for bringing back the Mu in Egypt:

    http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/13/world/middleeast/13egypt.html?_r=1&hp

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  12. “We are connecting the dots from the big banks that crashed our economy, destroyed millions of jobs and foreclosed on millions of family homes to the human impact here in the financial capital of our country,” said Michael Kink, the executive director of Strong Economy for All Coalition and one of the event’s organizers. In an interview, he cited similar protests being organized in Chicago, Charlotte and Oakland, and cited specifically his outrage at how Oakland is forced to close its public libraries — in order to save $5 million a year — at the same time the city still pays Goldman Sachs $5 million a year for interest-rate swaps. He wonders, where is the shared sacrifice? “This is a national effort to hold banks accountable,” he said.

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  13. I thought this was good:

    http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/05/11/dont-let-go-of-the-anger/

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  14. Sector rotation - from offensive to defensive - time for caution - Corey at the blog "Afraidtotrade.com

    @Denise,

    Have vacationing!

    In India, my part of the world is hoooooooooooooooot! 43C. In Canada, nice summer day - mid 20s.

    ICan

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  15. Odd - how did Thor become John? Oh well, super busy day at work, for today I'm John ;-)

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  16. Morning folks! I see the commodities route continues.

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  17. Denise have a wonderful trip! Take lot's of pictures and be sure to let us know what the Spaniards and the Portuguese think about their future!

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  18. Same thing happened to me, Thor. I had to reset it back Manny. Weird.

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  19. Once a Mutt always a MuttMay 12, 2011 at 12:54 PM

    Huh, my name didn't change

    Mutt

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