Pages

Monday, April 11, 2011

Manny Mondays - Let the Good Times Roll Edition...in the Executive Suite

Morning all! After a busy weekend and being mostly unplugged from the news, I had to scramble a bit to find a worthy topic for Manny Mondays. Lo and behold, after a brief cursory search, it wasn't that difficult to find one that is near and dear to my heart: executive pay. As the New York Times revealed this past weekend, after a period of big-time sacrifice during our market and economic crash to put this country's economy and citizens on solid footing again (um, wait, that never happened, you say? Never mind then), the good times are rolling yet again in the corporate executive suite, even if they aren't exactly rolling for the rank and file worker.

But unfortunately far too many of the same rank and file citizenry whose wages have stagnated at best have bought into the misguided mantra that we must NEVER, EVER raise taxes on any of such "productive" corporate execs citizenry in this country and ask any sacrifice whatsoever for the greater good out of any of these people. Real sacrifice (like taxes) is for the "little people", it seems, or means for folks who are clearly "different from you and I", as Matt Taibbi pointed out in a brilliant article last week, "raking one's own leaves".

But I digress. Here are some key excerpts for the article - The Drought Is Over (at Least for C.E.O.’s):

So far, this recovery has not trickled down. After two relatively lean years, C.E.O.’s in finance, technology, energy and beyond are pulling down multimillion-dollar paychecks. What many of these executives aren’t doing, however, is hiring. Unemployment, although down from its peak, stood at 8.8 percent in March. And few economists predict the jobless rate will drop substantially anytime soon.

For the average C.E.O., however, the good times have returned. The median pay for top executives at 200 major companies was $9.6 million last year. That was a 12 percent increase over 2009, according to a study conducted for The New York Times by Equilar, a compensation consulting firm based in Redwood City, Calif. Many if not most of the corporations run by these executives are doing better than they were in the downturn. Many businesses were hit so hard by the recession that even small improvements in sales and profits look good by comparison. But C.E.O. pay is also on the rise again at companies like Capital One and Goldman Sachs, which survived the economic storm with the help of all those taxpayer-financed bailouts.


But wait, there's more:

On this year’s list, the highest-paid C.E.O. was Philippe P. Dauman of Viacom, who made $84.5 million in just nine months. (Viacom changed its fiscal year-end to September from December.)

Viacom has said that the compensation was inflated by one-time stock awards linked to a long-term contract signed last year.

Also at the top was Ray R. Irani, the C.E.O. of Occidental Petroleum, who took home $76.1 million last year, up 142 percent from the previous one. Last year, the board awarded Mr. Irani a $33 million cash bonus plus $40.3 million in stock awards, more than double what he received in 2009.


But alas, there are also the usual hoots and howls from the other "little people" also known as "shareholders" who are starting push back on these pay packages, likely to no avail in the end, I'm guessing:

Shareholder frustration was probably most evident in recent weeks in the unusually bitter public spat at Hewlett-Packard. H.P.’s board has already been heavily criticized for its handling of the ouster last year of its former chief, Mark V. Hurd, after an H.P. investigation uncovered business conduct violations related to a personal relationship with a contractor.

Two of the most powerful shareholder advisory groups issued highly critical public reports recommending that investors this year vote against H.P.’s executive pay plans and current board members, saying that the company highly overpaid its executives.


But, hey, in our current political environment where Congress is basically the handmaiden of the uber-rich, for the uber-rich, and by the uber-rich, we must never EVER raise taxes on this group under ANY circumstance, and all is good with taxing these folks at the same rate as a small business entrepreneur that makes around $750-$1MM/year, right? These beacons of our communities must never be asked to give more and therefore "sacrifice" for the greater good. After all, we should be worshipping the ground that they walk on every day and thanking them for being so great.

In all seriousness, can someone please tell me why these people can't ever be taxed at a higher rate than people who aren't even close to this income and wealth stratosphere, especially when the country is in clear times of duress, such as now?

Given these vast wealth disparities today, don't we need a vastly more progressive tax code which allows us to "go where the money is" if we hope to truly address some of these longer term budget issues? Or is the continual plan merely more and more "sacrifice" and "austerity" for the Sheeple until we are all sucked dry so that the uber-wealthy never have to give back, while those who have all the money continue to make out like the new robber barons of the 21st century? It's all really nauseating if you ask me, but then again, what do I know? After all, it is Monday morning, and I may just be a little on the cranky side today.

89 comments:

  1. @Mannwich

    Good post!

    But Larry's compensation went down. Maybe he had to support Mark's salary and bennies with some of his?

    I don't know if Larry sold his 453' yacht or not, but if this keeps up, he'll have to. Then, Mannwich, you can get it.

    ReplyDelete
  2. @Mannwich:

    Well, we might be wrong, pal. Dollar's up, and SPY's up. Somethings gotta give? I guess our idea it could be a pop at the open then retreating during the day might need some reconsideration. If Bucky stays strong, I'm thinking the SPY will start out down before it retreats for the day.

    Looking more and more like we could be seeing Eve. I hope so.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Thanks Rock. Getting a mini "pop" here it seems, but I don't see how it has any legs. I've been wrong before (many times, I would add) though!

    ReplyDelete
  4. AA reports today.

    "PIMCO Goes Short U.S. Govt. Debt". - Reuters.


    ICan

    ReplyDelete
  5. And all this talk even from the President about cutting and austerity can't bode well for the free money loving market.

    ReplyDelete
  6. @ICan
    I'm not a betting man on earnings reports. As Dss says, their integrity leaves something to be desired.

    I think AA and CENX have their earnings priced in, and wouldn't be surprised to see both fall after a good report from AA. The reason the talking heads will give is the temporary rise in cost of energy.

    We'll see. But for sure, I'm out of this market completely by tonite.

    ReplyDelete
  7. O-man to put "taxes on the table". I'm sure this little "chip" will be used as one to negotiate away from the outset and nothing more in the end....

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/04/11/obama-spending-plan-taxes_n_847342.html

    ReplyDelete
  8. And why do they insist on using $250K as the market for being "rich"? Someone making $300K a year is hardly in the same league as a CEO who makes $80MM a year or even $10MM a year. Make the code MORE progressive, but the uber-rich don't want that. The way they get those that are making FAR less than them but are still doing well relative to everyone else is to ensure that the aspirational rich are in the same tax backet as they are. This allows the uber-rich to get those folks to also support their interests. Making the tax code MORE progressive as we get into some serious income and wealth would break up that little political & lobbying bloc that is so beneficial to the uber-rich, at everyone else's expense.

    ReplyDelete
  9. @MAnnwich:

    And, GS says that commodity inflation will be *much* worse than expected.

    Can't be good.

    ReplyDelete
  10. Cost of gas here in Minny jumped 12 cents in just a couple of days. Now at 3.89 in most places. The storms are a-swirling.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Exactly Rock. Not good at all. This thing is just about ovah as they say back in my "hometown".

    ReplyDelete
  12. A lot of red on my screen today all around.

    ReplyDelete
  13. @Mannwich:

    I have to admit, families that are grossing 250K a year are a lot better off than the 43 million households on foodstamps.

    I think that when you get over a certain amount of reportable revenues, that's when you need to have a flat rate tax kick in. Guys making $80MM per year are probably paying less tax than me, due to deductions they can take, and methods of deferring taxes.

    So I think that flat rate should be on reportable revenues. Not after deductions. That's what they do here in Singapore. I pay a flat fee of 21% of revenues.

    ReplyDelete
  14. My wife and I have started conversations about changing our habits along with rising gas prices, which includes her taking my car to work more regularly. I'm sure others are having similar conversations/decisions.

    ReplyDelete
  15. Totally agree, Rock, that we could probably raise taxes a bit on that group as well but why put them in the same league as those who are in the upper stratosphere and so far beyond anyone else? It simply makes no sense anymore given the vast disparities. $1MM/year isn't even considered "rich" in high cost of living areas anymore.

    ReplyDelete
  16. The problem is we've been so indoctrinated for so long that taxes are always bad and that these uber-rich somehow "earned" everything they have, so they should not be forced to give any of it back in the form of taxes. That's the real "entitlement class" right there. Not the Union Sheeple.

    ReplyDelete
  17. JCP new 52-week high. 100% up off its 52-week low of 1942. Retail going to continue to go gangbusters with rising gas prices? Perhaps for a bit assuming the credit spigots stay on......

    ReplyDelete
  18. That GDC.TO company I mentioned on Fri. It's being sold for $5.80/share but stock trading at $4.49? So may be so insider is dumping? Or are they nervous about Calgary r/e? They deal date is Aug.12th.2011.

    ICan

    ReplyDelete
  19. Rock – On the weekend post you commented on receiving welfare at a time in your life it was much needed.

    And although, I am all for welfare being a hand up, unfortunately too many people and families use it as a way of life.

    After my mother and father got divorced, my mother had to (Choose) go on welfare as she finished her degree, she then started teaching and put her welfare ways behind her – Just like with you it was a very effective tool to help out when it was needed most.

    But you (And many like you) had too much pride, ambition and self respect to consider it a way of life.

    However there is a vast segment of the American population, that does consider welfare a way of life and sadly they are having sons and daughters who are being raised to believe they “Deserve” a check from the goberment just because they exist. There is no shame for them and they do not even try to better their lives or the lives of their children.

    It is hard to say where you, your wife and children, or myself would have been had it not been for welfare, however I do believe it is shameful and wrong for people to consider receiving welfare “Their Right” Because it is NOT!

    Anyway that is my two pennies on the subject – It is good and needed for short term, but long term it is not.

    Mangy Mutt

    ReplyDelete
  20. Emmy,

    Finally got around to finishing the links from yesterday, thanks, awesome as always.

    ReplyDelete
  21. Manny,

    Great post, the little people are getting angrier and angrier and they are starting to wake up.

    ReplyDelete
  22. Rock – This weekend we celebrated my youngest’s 13th Born Day and as his “big gift” I got him his a brand new laptop and one of the very first things I wanted to do was to run RootKit on it.

    When I ran RootKit on the home PC it came back with a couple root programs that seemed to belong to MicroSoft so I figured running RootKit on an out of the box computer before programs were installed then running it again after programs were installed, might shed some light on it.

    To make a long story short, the youngest has a brother and sister who were more then happy to help him get EVERYTHING (they thought) he needed set up on his new computer, I was at work, so could not stop them.... GRRRRRR WORK, the goberment should be paying me to exist.

    Anyway, I will still run RootKit, but it will no longer be before and after…Oh well, such is life.

    But I will let you know what the results are.

    Mutt

    ReplyDelete
  23. After doing a bit of analysis over the weekend I have come up with two fairly obvious scenarios:

    Are we duplicating the October-November rally sequence, with the market appearing to make a lower high, rolling over, and then powering to take out the old highs?

    Or are we actually rolling over?

    The indicators that I use are mixed, just as they were in October.

    ReplyDelete
  24. A gem from PK today:

    "More broadly, Mr. Obama is conspicuously failing to mount any kind of challenge to the philosophy now dominating Washington discussion — a philosophy that says the poor must accept big cuts in Medicaid and food stamps; the middle class must accept big cuts in Medicare (actually a dismantling of the whole program); and corporations and the rich must accept big cuts in the taxes they have to pay. Shared sacrifice!"

    ReplyDelete
  25. Manny,

    A few good links that tie into your post:

    The Real War is Not Between Left and Right

    "The real war is not between the left and the right. It is between the average American and the ruling class. If we come together on this single issue, everything else will resolve itself. It's time we took back our government from those who would make us their slaves."

    ReplyDelete
  26. @Dss:

    Here's a scary article:

    http://www.thestreet.com/story/11078079/3/china-trade-deficit-equals-treasury-doom.html

    Ben bought about 7 billion today, with 27 billion offered. If what Neilsen says in the article is true, and we all know Eurozone can't take on more debt, this could easily be a rollover. Of course Nielsen applies the scare tactic and makes you think the Chinese buying Treasuries is a binary event, which it is not, and so far at least, there's no evidence that Japan is wholesaling their stash. Some may be converted, but I doubt they will wholesale sell, it would drive their price of their unsold holdings down like a falling monkey.

    GLD is up to 143.

    The SPY just turned negative on my chart. The pop open is pretty much gone.

    I wish Mannwich weren't so damn negative......

    Pimco sold all their treasuries, and is now short US debt (I don't know which ones).

    Many things are pointing to a slow rollover.

    ReplyDelete
  27. Good one, Denise. I would add that it's basically the world's ruling class against everyone else.

    ReplyDelete
  28. Manny,

    I think it is pretty obvious by now that Obama has no intention of rocking the boat before his re-election.

    Allow the GOP to make idiots out of themselves by proposing to abolish Medicare and give 85 year old ladies vouchers to go out into the market place and bargain for the right to stay alive.

    The GOP leadership knew it would never pass the senate, but it gives them bragging rights, and then Obama can play the "gotta raise taxes" card to cater to independents who are now properly horrified that their parents are going to lose their health care and the elderly who are even more horrified to have to bargain with health insurers.

    ReplyDelete
  29. @Dss

    Oh the other very negative thing I feel is there are huge inflows into the funds.

    http://seekingalpha.com/current/post/73103?source=feed

    That means the guys who've been hanging back are starting to get in.

    Worst news yet.

    ReplyDelete
  30. meant

    http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/73103?source=feed

    ReplyDelete
  31. Are All Nuclear Power Plants Vulnerable?

    Whenever there is a disaster, those responsible claim it was "unforeseeable" so as to escape blame.

    For example:

    * It happened with 9/11

    * It happened with the financial crisis

    * It happened with the BP oil spill (see this, this, this, this and this)

    * It happened with the Japanese nuclear accident

    The big boys gamble with our lives and our livelihoods, because they make a killing by taking huge risks and cutting costs. And when things inevitably go South, they aren't held responsible (other than a slap on the wrist), and may even be bailed out by the government.

    ReplyDelete
  32. Exactly Denise. "Triangulation" (or "triangstrangluation" - of the non-ruling class, if you ask me) part deux.

    ReplyDelete
  33. Rock,

    That confirms what ICan was pointing out last week, institutions are coming into the market as they have to invest the funds they receive. People are buying into the good news.

    ReplyDelete
  34. Manny,

    The other quote was from Stiglitz:

    Stiglitz describes well the intertwining of state and private power [quoting Stiglitz]:

    The personal and the political are today in perfect alignment. Virtually all U.S. senators, and most...[House] representatives...are members of the top 1 percent....are kept in office by money from the top 1 percent, and know that if they serve the top 1 percent well they will be rewarded by the top 1 percent when they leave office. By and large, the key executive-branch policymakers on trade and economic policy also come from the top 1 percent. When pharmaceutical companies receive a trillion-dollar gift--through legislation prohibiting the government...from bargaining over price--it should not come as cause for wonder....Given the power of the top 1 percent, this is the way you would expect the system to work.

    ReplyDelete
  35. Which explains why the corporate welfare state is alive and well. Trillion dollar gifts to pharma, priceless! Raising taxes on the rich - socialism!

    ReplyDelete
  36. There you go, Denise. The REAL "entitlement class" rolls onward while the rest of us look on in astonishment in horror.

    ReplyDelete
  37. ...and horror. Typing Mannwich. Very careless today!

    ReplyDelete
  38. This whole article at Washington's blog is well worth reading: (Saw it over at TBP this weekend)

    Japan's Nuclear Meltdown, The Economic Meltdown and the Gulf Oil Meltdown Happened for the Same Reason

    Stiglitz points out that a system gamed to benefit only that 1 percent is destined to sink us all, eventually, because it means America is squandering its productivity, efficiency, and much-needed infrastructure dollars. We would go a step further and say that this system, of, by, and for the 1 percent, is what paved the way for some of the greatest disasters of the new century. The BP-Transocean Oil Spill and the Wall Street collapse might never have happened without the promotion by shadow lobbyists of loose regulation and/or weak enforcement that benefited themselves and their elite brethen. Japan might not be facing a nuclear crisis, were it not for the fact that the very old reactors at the Fukushima Daiichi plant got an extension to keep operating despite safety concerns. That decision was a byproduct, critics say, of Japan's own gamed system known as amakudari, or "descent from heaven", a longstanding, widespread practice in which Japanese senior bureaucrats retire to high-profile positions in the private and public sectors.

    ReplyDelete
  39. I really like the "Washington's Blog" and I am going to add it to our links.

    ReplyDelete
  40. I'm convinced one of the big ways the elites get a lot of us to support THEIR interests above all on the taxes front is to ensure that those directly beneath them (the "aspirationally rich") are taxed at the same (or worse) rates than them. In fact, there was a very long (but very good) article in Vanity Fair last year about this very topic. I'll see if I can dig it up.

    The other big way is to prove just how corrupt and "useless" government is through their actions so as to convince the Sheeple of its uselessness and corruption, and motivate us to not want to pay any taxes either.

    ReplyDelete
  41. The fact that the world's elites think it can get by just fine under such a system where everything is continually gamed to benefit them at everyone else's expense is ludicrously short-sighted for such supposed "brillant" and "super smart" people. If we go down, they will eventually go down with the ship as well. Eventually.

    ReplyDelete
  42. @Denise: Did you see this one over the weekend? The plant is filled mostly with temps, day laborers, contracters and sub-contracters. The human race is "competing" itself into oblivion. A race to the bottom indeed. The almighty dollar must be worshiped at all costs.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/10/world/asia/10workers.html?scp=1&sq=Japan%20Nuclear%20plant%20temps&st=cse

    ReplyDelete
  43. Rock,

    Also from my analysis this weekend:

    Strong sectors

    Commodities
    Oil
    Oil Service
    Euro
    NYSE
    DOW
    S&P
    R2000
    Materials
    HMO
    Biotech
    Retail
    Metals

    Sectors that have been rolling over:

    Nasdaq
    Tech
    Financials
    Real Estate
    Home Builders
    India
    China
    Utilities
    DAX
    AG's

    Sectors that at or near lows:

    Dollar
    Yen
    EQPT
    Japan

    Can we continue to recover without housing and financials?

    ReplyDelete
  44. Manny,

    "He is one of thousands of untrained, itinerant, temporary laborers who handle the bulk of the dangerous work at nuclear power plants here and in other countries, lured by the higher wages offered for working with radiation."

    They forgot to add "desperate" to the adjectives. Just like other very dangerous professions, like coal mining.

    ReplyDelete
  45. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  46. Morning everyone! Manny, good call this weekend! We got a little pump, then blah just like you said :-)

    ReplyDelete
  47. Plus APPL is once again getting crushed, down 1.21% compared to the NQ being down .42%. Lots of profit taking.

    ReplyDelete
  48. and such a busy morning too, I'm missing everything!

    What's got oil dropping so hard?

    ReplyDelete
  49. @Dss

    Your 1:05

    I got to thinking about this. You may have hit on the plan, or as Herve would have said, the plan, the plan!

    The S&P is constructed to advance when commodities go up in price.

    17% of the S&P directly benefits: The Materials and Energy sectors.

    48% is neutral to commodity prices: techs, financials, healthcare, and telecom.

    So about 2/3 of the S&P will advance (part by beta, part by direct benefit) if the commodity prices go up.

    Yes, we can continue the recovery, all we have to do is have inflation, where commodities go up up and away.

    And since the US Government can construct the CPI numbers however they want by adjusting the type of housing which gets included, you can be sure they won't show the runaway hyperinflation necessary to keep the market going up.

    Keep a close stop on your short.

    ReplyDelete
  50. Rock,

    I always have one foot out the door. The position is tiny as I don't have a lot of bearish conviction but the rolling over of some of these sectors is a concern.

    ReplyDelete
  51. We broke the short term trendline so that is still important for today, but there was huge volume in the ES at the tick lows of 12:39.

    ReplyDelete
  52. Rock said: "Can we continue to recover without housing and financials?"

    I'm going to say a resounding "I don't think so" to your query. LOL. Sprinkle in the various swans that are circling and it's hard to see how this thing pushes that much higher.

    ReplyDelete
  53. And less downside volume at the new lows of the day at 13:00.

    But it is still lunch time.

    ReplyDelete
  54. Rock,

    Sometimes I put on a little test position as it keeps me uber focused then on how it does. Even if I lose a little bit of money, it is giving me good information.

    ReplyDelete
  55. The 1315 ES level has support, ticks never got above 827 today and have spent much of the time negative.

    ReplyDelete
  56. Consumer Staples and Health care are up today, XLV, XLP, so someone thinks that this rally might be over.

    ReplyDelete
  57. JPMorgan Profits While Clients Lose Millions

    The class action suit, filed on behalf of a several pension funds, accuses JPMorgan of earning "substantial fees and interest" and hundreds of millions more from colleteral on short term loans, for total of $1.9 billion. JPMorgan's clients, the suit argues, lost almost all of the $500 million the bank had invested on their behalf.

    JPMorgan, the suit argues, breached its fiduciary duty to protect clients' investments by placing its own interests first, and by failing to disclose information about Sigma's troubles. The thrust of the argument is that it the bank not only failed to act in the best interests of its clients, but also profited from client losses.

    ReplyDelete
  58. @greg

    Corey at the blog http://blog.afraidtotrade.com/ has technical/chartology on APPL.

    Pivot price APPL traders should be wathcing.

    ICan

    ReplyDelete
  59. ICan,

    I saw that post about APPL. It has been weak lately, like the rest of the NDX. Lots of people looking to get in at lower levels so I would expect that support levels will be bought, unless the world starts to come unglued.

    ReplyDelete
  60. Barely taking out Friday's lows.

    ReplyDelete
  61. I love these kinds of stories if only because they validate my career choice. Also, we struggle with the same thing where I work now.

    SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Some of you may know that I’ve spent the past six months reporting and writing on the job market in the technology industry, talking every day to chief executives, human-resource officials, recruiters and headhunters.

    But investors with medium- and long-term horizons should, because the ability to attract and retain top talent has become a critical strategic challenge for all tech companies, large and small. The talent crunch is affecting the operations of tech companies in two important ways.

    ReplyDelete
  62. oops - and now the link

    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/tech-talent-crunch-will-become-investors-problem-2011-04-08

    ReplyDelete
  63. Thks Manny and hi all. Won't be around much these days. I've got to focus on coding. That's my job after all.:p

    @Denise:"Whenever there is a disaster, those responsible claim it was "unforeseeable" so as to escape blame."

    Exactly. Applies to all top executives and rulers in general, regardless of the domain. As long as it all goes fine, they get the biggest rewards, because THEY have the expertise right?

    But once things start falling apart, then it all becomes "unforeseeable". Mortgages crisis comes to mind, globalization that may soon lead us back to proctectionism, labour outsourcing .. couldn't know!

    Think there's no free lunch? They don't..you can have

    ReplyDelete
  64. You may think there's frustration, jealousy showing through my above comment. For what it matters, there's not. I'm living a very decent life, with fair ambitions.

    While there's no denying most of these dirty handed people at the top have better than average intelligence,it gets clearer everyday, as new scandals pop up to the public, that they fail miserably when it comes to wisdom.

    And I value wisdom.

    ReplyDelete
  65. On another note, congratz to the people of Ivory Coast. (with a little help from their "friends").

    As always with remote conflicts, hard to know the truth. Western armies seldom make such moves with the sole goal to protect people..

    But the killings are over. For now at least. I hope they can build their own nation, that's long overdue.

    ReplyDelete
  66. Well. That won't be the day when it all falls apart (again). Some shy selling is still better than nothing.

    At least I guess your SDS will leave to fight another day Denise :p Thanks for the market insights also.

    Ok, back to 0 and 1's. Well, the modern way that is. System.out.println("Evening all;)"; System.exit();

    ReplyDelete
  67. @Wolfie,

    Still have my short on. The key reversal in crude is very interesting. Have to do more looking after dinner to see what else happened.

    ReplyDelete
  68. @WS(4:09)

    Kudos to the French. You should be proud. Perhaps, the world a better place sans one thug!. Whether right or wrong, the future will tell.


    ICan

    ReplyDelete
  69. "Egypt Sentences Blogger to 3 Years". NYTimes

    "Had assailed the Egyptian armed forces for what he called its continuation of the corruption and anti-democratic practices of Mr. Mubarak".

    Culture is hard to change. Perhaps it will take one more generation to bring in western style democracy. Perhaps.

    ICan

    ReplyDelete
  70. ICan - we could be heading into a scenario in Egypt that is reminiscent of Turkey and it's history with military rule. I think it takes awhile for a determined civilian government to take control of a nation over military rule when that military rule is often percieved as the only thing standing between order and chaos. Maybe once a civilian government is elected, and they show that they are indeed able to function without corruption and cronyism the military will start slowly losing influence and control over the nation. . . .

    ReplyDelete
  71. @ICan, thanks for the link on Apple, but I couldn't bring it up. Andy Zaky has a good piece on Apple versus Android.

    http://tech.fortune.cnn.com/2011/04/11/why-apple-investors-shouldnt-sweat-android/

    ReplyDelete
  72. @greg


    See the links on the right hand side of this blog. Blog - Afraid To Trade.

    ICan

    ReplyDelete
  73. Ican - Excellent article! Henry Blodget is the last person who should be making arguments on technology. BI isn't much better than ZH when it comes to ridiculous hit generating headlines and stories.

    Here's the money quote from the article.

    The iPhone is growing at a pace of 85-100% each quarter. iPhone revenue is nearly doubling each quarter. After selling 39 million iPhones in 2010, Apple is going to sell more than 75 million in 2011, generating nearly $50 billion in revenue from a single device.

    Google will probably report about $6.5 billion in total revenue when it releases its first quarter results later this week. Apple's iPhone alone will very likely eclipse $11 billion for the March quarter. For 2011, Google is expected to report about $27 billion on the top line compared to the iPhone's expected $48.2 billion in revenue. The iPhone as a business is nearly twice the size of Google's entire operation. This is a financial reality rarely illuminated in these so-called "platform market share" articles where Apple investors are supposed to be "deathly afraid" of the Android operating system that doesn't even create a fraction of the revenue Apple generates from the iPhone.


    Also, what percentage of CURRENT iPhone users are turning in their iPhones for phones running the Android system? Anecdotally, we have users in our office turning in their Android based phones for iPhones because the Android phones (crash constantly).

    ReplyDelete
  74. Greg - Just wanted to let you know, we got an iPhone in the house.

    My yougests son's sister is working at AT&T, so for his Born Day she got him an iPhone, from the littel he has let me handle it, it seems pretty cool so far.

    Mutt

    ReplyDelete
  75. greg,

    http://blog.afraidtotrade.com/

    ReplyDelete
  76. Student to top a trillion dollars this year. But how much of it will be paid back by the new class of debt serfs?

    http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/12/education/12college.html?_r=1&hp

    ReplyDelete
  77. Student debt. Student DEBT, Mannwich.

    ReplyDelete
  78. @Thor, articles about market share always assume one thing, with market share comes an automatic increase in profits. I guess they've never studied Microsoft or General Motors. Even some Apple fanboys don't seem to understand, as you will still see some of them calling for Apple to license their operating system, in an effort to increase market share in computer sales. Not sure exactly what parts of the plethora of comments Steve Jobs has made on the subject they have missed, but they clearly do not understand the company, and at the least should be encouraged to return to PC ownership. Android will no doubt gain greater market share, but I think will have a very hard time ever achieving revenue dominance.

    ReplyDelete
  79. Massive downside bet on silver going down by July

    A trader’s almost $1 million bet that an exchange-traded fund tracking silver will decline by July was today’s biggest single options trade on U.S. exchanges as futures on the metal reached a 31-year high.

    ReplyDelete
  80. Greg. - spot on!

    You know that company! You should be an analyst!


    Oooooh! I get a cut of your fees! ;-)

    ReplyDelete
  81. Think about that for a minute though. Greg understand Apple as a company, understands it very well, certainly better than Henry Blodget, who missed it by a mile. Someone tell me again why we listen to any of these guys? :-)

    ReplyDelete