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Monday, March 14, 2011

Manny Mondays - The Whitewash Continues

Morning all! So after the farce that was the FCIC findings basically amounted to everyone being guilty of something that led to the meltdown, which basically equates to nobody being truly responsible (or accountable) for anything, it seems the whitewash of real causes and culprits of the financial and economic meltdown continues unabated. Sadly, now that the equity markets are up over 90% off the March '09 lows and the economy is in recovery, not many people seem to care. The wonders of a short collective memory never cease.

The first article appeared late last week in the Huffington Post: Fed Report Finds No Wrongful Foreclosures By Banks, where, in findings that were highly Onion-worthy, the Fed found that no abuses occurred by the mortgage servicers during the foreclosure process. No, that is not a typo, they found not a single abuse, but that is mainly because their definition of the word "abuse" was conveniently and predictably narrowly defined:

During a public meeting attended by Fed chairman Ben Bernanke, consumer advocates on the panel criticized the central bank's examiners for narrowly defining what constitutes a "wrongful foreclosure." At least one member of the panel, comprised of consumer finance experts not employed by the Fed, voiced concerns that the public would not take the Fed's findings of improper practices seriously, since the wide-ranging review did not find a single homeowner who was wrongfully foreclosed upon.

Members of the panel were briefed on the report's findings on Wednesday by Fed staff during a closed-door meeting. It appears the results were not supposed to have been disclosed Thursday.

The Fed's findings seem to support claims from the banking industry, which has admitted to sloppy practices but has maintained that the homeowners whose homes have been repossessed were substantially behind on their payments.


The second one appeared in the Sunday NY Times: A Swift Deal May Not Be a Sound One, written by Gretchen Morgensen, where, it seems the state attorneys general are curiously in a rush to settle with the banks and to, in effect, sweep the abuses the Fed couldn't find under the proverbial rug. The wheels of predation, I mean, commerce, must continue under all circumstances, it seems. After all, there's a stock market rally to support.

While some might argue that a rapid approach will help borrowers, it is apt to benefit the banks far more. Hurrying to strike a deal means less time to devote to understanding how pernicious the foreclosure practices were at the nation’s largest institutions. How can you determine appropriate penalties for troubling practices when you haven’t conducted a full-fledged investigation?

Remember that the attorneys general who are participating in this settlement process have been a coalition only since October. Two people who have been briefed on the discussions, but who asked for anonymity because the deal was not final, told me last week that no witnesses had been interviewed and that the coalition had sent out just one request for documents — and it has not yet been answered.

And, yet, along comes a 27-page outline of remedies that the banks would have to abide by in their loan servicing and foreclosure businesses. Talk has also circulated that the banks would have to cough up $20 billion to close the deal, though there are no figures in the outline.


The final piece that I found interesting was over at Zero Hedge, where, it seems the SEC is prepared to not hold anyone responsible at Lehman for the Repo 105 accounting machinations, likely because that would similar inquiries would need to be made with TBTF titans, Citi and BofA, and it's clear that nothing can be done to call into question their "turnaround" stories. Apparently the different layers of the rotten onion must remain sealed. Go read the whole post here: Letting No Disaster Go To Waste, SEC Prepares To Let Lehman Executives Walk For Repo 105 Fraud.

All of this makes me wonder if a Mr. Jeffrey Skilling is sitting in a remote MN hinterlands cell lamenting being just a tad early in his machinations and not causing a "big enough" crisis. Otherwise, he may likely be not only be a free man, but still working in a big, powerful executive job somewhere. I guess this further proves the old cliche about the importance of timing.

164 comments:

  1. Good thoughts, Mannwich.

    Besides the fraud which will not be investigated by the USG and nobody else is big enough (except maybe the Gates Foundation). So you're right, it's sealed forever.

    Maybe that's why the banks weren't broken up.

    Anyway, one thing about the lightning foreclosures: Why?

    I admit I'm not much of n economist, but it seems to me that the banks would rather try their hardest to keep homeowners in the homes, paying on the mortgage (at 6-8%) and dragging it out over more and more years, to make more and more interest, but instead they want to take the property and keep it in inventory.

    I mean, the banks are in it to make money. Not to owe real estate taxes. So why take the property back, it's loan is greater than the worth, and thety owe taxes for as long as they keep it.

    the only think I can figure is that somenow the mortgages and the transfer of property was illegal or fraudulent somehow. Or when they packaged up CDO's and sold them, they somehod were responsible for the cash of the worth versus the sale price (Fannie and Freddie are asking banks to take back some perhaps fraudulent mortgages, but I haven't heard about MBS's or CDOs.

    Anyway, I think something is going on here, to bthe bank's favor.

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  2. It may be time to buy a new keyboard.

    @Mutt:
    I talked to a developer who is much more current than I who said "microsoft doesn't issue rootkits. They are the ultimate rootkit".

    Could you leave a name? I'd like to look into that a little further, thanks

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  3. Okaydokay. Hope everyone had a good weekend. My 2 cents for the SP500 haven't changed. Well, except one minor detail: I've moved the 1295 value down to 1294.

    As illustrated on my chart, we still have these 2 options:

    1) range bound between 1294 and 1345 for some time
    2) if we break 1294 we go down to the 1230 support

    Good luck all.;)

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  4. Forcing CorclosuresMarch 14, 2011 at 9:49 AM

    Rock - I am a small town boy, who does not understand the way's of the world as clearly as my counterparts on Wall Street sitting behind their desks in their ties, but starting about 2002, I noticed house prices raising at an astronomical pace.

    This was before I knew what a bubble was or the havoc low interest rates cause, but I knew we were headed for trouble.

    Now, if you can get money at 0.25% and loan it at 5% you are making some pretty good money, so this whole thing with the banks forcing forclosures they way they have been is very confusing.

    You would think they would rather collect their free 4% for doing nothing. And eventually no matter how this is spun or what lies are told, the banks will reach the tipping point on the number of foreclosures they can absorb - Then What?

    Mutt

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  5. Japan will need oil/gas for generators.



    ICan

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  6. Rock - I ma just passing through this morning, but I either tonight or tomorrow I will post the two rootkits that are supposedly from Microsoft and the links that discuss them

    Mutt

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  7. @Emmy(8:30)

    Incredible!

    I admire their work ethic. They are resiliant, hard working people. They will rebuild. But pain/loss of human life is something else.


    ICan

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  8. @Mutt

    Something's going on with the foreclosures. I haven't read any articles that say the foreclosures are to banks' benefit, but maybe I've just missed them.

    RE: rootkits: thanks. One tbat's legit is BHO Daemon (that's the one I was tryihng to remember), but there's a bot written against that.

    How 'bout that? Malware written against malware.

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  9. Take a quick look at NFLX.

    Everybody hates them. Apple, google, amazon wants to eat their lunch.

    They're in a down channel.

    They are forming a really beautiful M with the right side lower, on the 60 minute chart.

    Can you spell S H O R T?

    BTW, I hope somebody heeded Greg's call. Look at AAPL. That one's making me feel good.

    Thanks, Greg.

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  10. Morning folks! Awesome post Manny! On my way in to LA

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  11. @Rock(10:02)

    Depends on how the nuclear melt-down is spun.

    "Nuclear winter for industry". marketwatch.com

    I am on the sidelines today.

    "GE was the designer of the nuclear power plants in Japan that failed over the weekend". http://www.timingthemarket.ca/techtalk/2011/03/14

    Uranium miners are taking a hit. Insurance companies, and GE(not so much).

    ICan

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  12. Seems we're not able to hold the 1294. High probability that we head down, with a target of 1230 to begin with. That's how I (virtually) play it anyway.

    Have fun!

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  13. No momo monday. Fed is on with pomo today.



    ICan

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  14. Correction ain't ovah, it seems. Too much uncertainty out there everywhere and you know what they say about the mahhkets hating uncertainty?

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  15. This thing unfolding in Japan is really hard to read about.

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  16. I shouldn't call it a "thing" either. Terrible word choice. It's a human tragedy of epic proportions.

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  17. Getting interesting for BofA and maybe other TBTF's but does anyone even care? Apparently not.

    http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2011/03/wikileaks-whistleblower-charges-bofa-of-engaging-in-large-scale-force-placed-insurance-scheme-with-cooperation-of-servicers.html

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  18. Busy day catching up from vacation, hope to be around later this afternoon.

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  19. Fed meeting Tuesday.


    ICan

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  20. Can the Fed fire up the printing presses for Japan?

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  21. Mannwich (11:13) - Sometimes in life, we are faced with situations we do not know how to deal with are classify.

    What is going on in Japan, is a disaster of epic proportion, it is a natural disaster, human disaster, a tragedy and something we have really only read about in history books (Pompe, Kracktoa,ect) yet now we are living it.

    Honestly I think "Thing" pretty well sums up the situation.

    Mutt

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  22. It is incredible.

    @Mannwich:
    Japan still owns a lotta treasuries, and the Fed will likewly accept bids from them in order to monitize the recovery.

    My friend here who runs a huge fund said that Asia isn't trying to dump it's US treasuries, but that could change for Japan.

    In any case, I'm guessing you'll see the financial community look to make money from a stronger Yen. Like sell them rods and coolent, and XOM will sell them more Nat Gas.

    I'm becoming cynical in my old age. Was it Glen Frye who said "kick 'em when they're up, kick 'em when they're down?"

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  23. Also makes me wonder if the whole argument for more nuclear energy here in the U.S. is now dead for the time being.

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  24. I think that was indeed Glenn Frye, Rock. Good call.

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  25. Meanwhile - in Appleland.

    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-gets-lift-on-reports-of-strong-ipad-2-sales-2011-03-14

    Apple /quotes/comstock/15*!aapl/quotes/nls/aapl (AAPL 352.95, +0.96, +0.27%) has not yet said anything publicly about the iPad 2’s opening weekend. Last April, the company issued a statement reporting that the first version of the device sold more than 300,000 units on its opening day.

    In reports Monday, analysts covering Apple said they believed the company sold anywhere from 500,000 to 1 million iPad 2 units over the opening weekend.

    “Given extended lead times at the online store and sold out retail stores, we believe iPad 2 sales exceeded Apple’s initial expectations,” wrote Gene Munster of Piper Jaffray.

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  26. Bloomie just said their analyists predict a 6% chance there will be a 10% correction (we're at 5% now). Last month, the probability was 2%.

    Interesting. They must be reading the 3LB charts....

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  27. Is it me or overall does it seem like the global events of the last 10 years or so have been rife with quasi Black Swans or outright ones, far exceeding the previous few decades combined? Seems like one after the other lately. Makes me stop and wonder.....

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  28. @Rock and Manny, I believe it was actually Don Henley's Dirty Laundry.

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  29. Indeed it was, greg! Good call. I often get those two mixed up.

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  30. @Thor, re appleland.

    If I were Apple I would have Tim Cook do a press conference where the audio lags the video, and the voiceover would be an interpreter of Korean origin explaining that sales were slow, or rather, smooth.

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  31. @Jeff,

    The other side of that nuclear meltdown argument is, "It's safe, because it withstood 10 EQ".

    Some of the uranium miners are whacked. In Canada, majors are Cameco, and Denison mines.

    Maybe inflation in Japan later on from all the building req'ments.

    ICan

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  32. Manny,

    Great post today, reflecting all of the frustration that the criminals will never be charged or made to stand trial for their crimes. In America, crime does pay.

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  33. We were at an Apple store in Florida and the place was absolutely standing room only. I am going to do my post this week about Florida's economic conditions.

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  34. Thanks Denise. For some, it pays quite well, actually. So let's take one guess as to whether or not it will continue.

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  35. I'll be down there in about a week and a half, Denise, but will be cloistered in a retirement community bubble, so it will be tough to gauge the true conditions down there.

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  36. Color me still confused by the whole i-Pad craze. I guess I'm just not a big technophile.

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  37. Yesterday I thought about shorting reactor companies, but I couldn't find one that said they were primarily nuclear power focused. Too bad. Bloomie says a whole bunch of them are down today.

    "You'll read it in the news".

    @Dss:
    Sarasota is very bullish on homeless. In Sarasota, you get to sleep in the library, and the police won't arrest you if you hang around the center of town.

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  38. @Manny, you'll have to gauge it using different parameters. Do the ladies hairdoo's look like they are in need of a blue retinting, are the men's white belts and shoes in reasonably good shape? Maybe check out he dinner lines around 3 p.m. to gauge the crowds, or, are there lots of empty seats at the pinocle tables or shuffleboard venues. Stuff like that.

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  39. Heard from a co-worker who's a bigger Apple fan-boy than me, that Apple was completely sold out of iPad's on Saturday. Completely sold out, they'll have to wait for the next production run to sell more, there was that much of a demand. According to him 70% of sales are to new Apple converts.

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  40. If the first weekend sales fell short of expectations, I'm blaming Manny.

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  41. LOL greg. Good points. I'll just recalibrate the indicators. It's like an imaginary bubble land down there. Like extended summer camp for old people.

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  42. I simply don't see the need for an iPad. What does it do that my laptop and/or iPhone don't? How many electronic gadgets does one need and can carry around at once?

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  43. Feels little like the cool thing to do back in the day was to buy (and pay up for) Nike sneakers (and not bo-bo's). Nobody really knows why they're cool and doing it but they do it anyway. Fascinating dynamic. Apple's certainly tapped into it either way. Wish I could find that magic elixir.

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  44. A tiny bit of a rally this afternoon, let's see if it has any legs. At this point it could go either way.

    NYSE made new tick lows over last week, NASDAQ did not.

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  45. Apple products should be renamed i-Crack, because that seems to be the effect it has on many people. No offense, greg. Even I find myself staring into my i-Phone and messing around with it for no particular useful reason.

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  46. 10y broke out to new highs, indicating fear and a rush to safety.

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  47. AD line did not make new lows, which is mildly bullish for the day.

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  48. Testing the lows of last week is always a revealing exercise. We never sold off to exactly the lows, (close enough) but many people got too bearish and shorted. There are positive divergences forming, but I think is more important is than we did not go below Friday's lows. Japan's loss is our gain.

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  49. Ah Manny, there's the rub. It's not a need item, it's a want item. Nobody really enjoys buying a need item, but a want item is a completely different experience, visceral perhaps.

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  50. Manny,

    I think the appeal is that people are not buying laptops, they are buying tablets instead, way cooler.

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  51. Manny = Re your 1:37: Have thought that myself with all the earthquakes. According to the USGS though, there hasn't been any uptick in world earthquakes in decades. Must be the recency effect?

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  52. Apple's appeal is the total coolness of the product, plus the need to look cool yourself. My daughter has a new Mac book and after using it on vacation I think it is so superior to any of our laptops that it is like comparing today to the stone age.

    However, she had a chance to get an Apple iPhone and chose the Droid instead because she uses her phone to text not talk.

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  53. @greg & denise: I hear you, but for me, I'd still rather have a laptop (and a physical keyboard) for business purposes. As emotionally appealing as the i-Pad might be, every time I stop and think about why I'd buy one even for my wife, whose laptop is on the fritz, I simply don't see it as truly replacing the laptop, especially if one uses it primarily for business. I think that it's simply a trendy toy that's gone viral.

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  54. @denise: I had maybe a 5 minute window of time to be "cool" and that was it. For me, it's function over everything now.

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  55. Well I definitely would need a smart phone at this point. I don't know how I ever lived without one. I like having information with me anywhere I go. Being able to look up a movie, an address, a phone number, etc.

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  56. @ Manny, no offense taken, as I lie curled up in a fetal position on my floor, awaiting the March 25th launch of the ipad in my neck of the woods, hoping iphone and iMac are enough to carry me through this current hell.

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  57. Still seems like a giant i-Phone to me without the phone. What am I missing? What's funny is everyone tells me how "awesome" it is like it does something radically different but nobody can explain just what's different about it, other than the cool factor. I just don't get it. I'll wait and buy another i-Phone probably next year, unless something clearly trumps it by then.

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  58. Let's NOT discount ease of use though. I see a lot of people who do not now, nor have ever owned a Mac or an Apple product making the assumption that people buy them for no other reason than they're "cool". Nothing could be further from the truth, people are buying them primarily because they are a well made, VERY easy to use, VERY stable, VERY convenient devices. Saying people are buying something because it's "cool" without actually having USED the device you're talking about is . . . . . well, it's silly. If you don't use it, then it's not a good idea to comment about it correct? ;-)

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  59. Manny,

    I agree with you that it is a trendy toy but people have different needs, lap tops vs. tablets. Depends upon what you need it for. For people who need it for connecting and not inputting by keyboard it works.

    Having observed people in the airports use their individual devices this past week was interesting but what I saw was that the younger the user, the more likely they would have a tablet and/or iPhone, unlike old fogies like me.

    For my daughter's group few have anything but Apple products. They would rather have the latest gadget than new clothes.

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  60. Manny - and no, it's not just a giant iPhone. Not at all. For people who have them this is a somewhat laughable claim. It's not more a giant iPhone than a blackberry is a tiny laptop. The experience, as well as what you do on one, is completely different than an iPhone. I don't look at pictures, or read on my iPhone. I don't use the iPad for either GPS or talking to people. . . .

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  61. Denise - and those kids are buying Apple products because they are infinitely more tech savvy than anyone else in our society. These kids grew up with technology and they, much much much more than their parents and people in older generations understand how that technology works and what makes good technology vs bad technology.

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  62. Thor,

    Have to agree. My daughter's laptop is so much easier to use than mine, cool as well, but so functional. She much prefers her new Mac book to any computer she has used in the past. Plus her school supports and promotes Apple products simply because of the fact that they are so much better products.

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  63. Denise, my daughter wanted a Blackberry, so I had her kidnapped by one of those cult deprogramming guys. She's back home now, with a new iphone, and seems none the worse for wear. When texting though, I notice she tends to chant "I don't need a physical keyboard" It's a little odd.

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  64. @Dss
    I'm looking at the trend of stocks trading above the 50 day MA. It says we're about half-done with this correction. I'm guessing that means about 1240.

    I will say this, though: the trend has been triangles justified to the right, that is a slow rise to a sudden fall. This time feels different, and I think this pullback may simply wind the spring up tight, so when it lets go, we need to be nimble to catch it on the rise.

    I have to respectably disagree with Mannwich. The top's not in until we get some capitulization from sovereign debt failure in Europe. I had read that in April, greek debt comes due, but Fed's monitization may have saved that one. Maybe it's "sell in may and go away" again this year.

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  65. And way, way cheaper for the school to support as the kids and the entire school are tied to their computers as a means to communicate about EVERYTHING. It really comes down to cost for the schools. I can see in the future that they will not support anything but Apple products because of the cost difference and ease of hooking everyone up to the school's systems.

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  66. Manny, go to the ipad section on the Apple site and bring up the guided tours link. Might answer some questions for you. Very well done videos. Be careful though, I think they are subliminal.

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  67. greg,

    Plus you have to remember that these kids see every device out there because of the concentration of kids on campus. So they already know who is the best provider for their area, what functions they personally need, what is bullshit and what is not.

    She tried out her friend's phones and after originally wanting the iPhone (her brother has one and she liked it), decided that the Droid would suit her needs better. As Thor said, they are the most tech savvy of our population and get what they want.

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  68. Denise - we find that here too, although we get a lot of push back from certain areas in IT. Even though the Macs are more expensive, we need about 1/3rd the support people for them because they are so much more stable.

    Wolfie - you'll be happy to hear we're looking into retiring most of our windows servers in favor or Unix systems for the same reason. Needless to say our two Windows Sys Admins are more than a little nervous.

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  69. Denise - Interesting about your daughter! I'll bet all those kids try each others phones out. Fascinating that she used the Droid and liked that one better for her needs. That's a lot more tech savvy than even I would have given these kids credit for! :-)

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  70. Denise, you can hook a keyboard to the ipad if you want.

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  71. Rock,

    I haven't finished with all of my homework from last week so I can't say what is going on yet.

    Rather than guessing, I let the internals speak for themselves with regard to tops and bottoms. Of course, one respects S&R levels, fibs, etc, but no one knows if a top or bottom is in until weeks or even months later. All you can do is place your bets and take your chances.

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  72. @Thor & Denise: Well, I HAVE messed around with an i-Pad and other peoples' Apple products and feel for ME it's mostly overkill and doesn't do anything that I really need that my cheap laptop can't do just as well or better. And if people can't specifically explain why they like a product, then I have to assume they honestly have no idea why they bought it and are just following their emotions or the herd or a bit of both.

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  73. Bloomie said TM is losing 6B per day.
    STock's fallen from 94 to 81.

    Wow!

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  74. If I traveled a lot for work, I could possibly see its usefulness, being so light and compact. That would be great to have for business travel.

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  75. Thor,

    When you have thousands of kids in close proximity there is no choice but to see what everyone else has, plus they use these devices like extensions of their lives. Multitasking is the name of the game. Spending a week in close quarters with a very internet savvy kid will open your eyes to how they use their devices to do everything. The old folk parents might be discussing where to go and she has already has all the answers we needed before we have even made a decision.

    They use the net for everything. And they expect everything to be done at lightening speed. It was really an eye opener, especially the difference between high school and the extremely tech oriented university setting.

    I would be buying Apple on any pullbacks as this is just the beginning of their dominance, as long as they continue to put out the best products.

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  76. @Denise: I'd probably agree with that, although things can change MIGHTY quickly in tech, as we well know. Just ask Motorola or Nokia.

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  77. Manny,

    That is exactly what I was saying before, each person uses their devices in the way it suits them. We have a simple pay as you go phone because we have no need for a full function smart phone at this time. We might use 15-30 minutes a month on a busy month. But we both work from home. I love the smart phones but I have no need for one.

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  78. Manny - My workout partner is a great example of where the usefulness of the iPad really comes into play for a lot of folks. He's an interior designer (commercial and home) and he says that he's now dependent on it for work. He brings it with him everywhere he goes and uses it to show clients his plans and designs. I think it's these type of things that might be driving a lot of the adoption lately. People who are finding ways in which to use them for work.

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  79. True Denise, but some merely buy because others have them and they merely want to have the same things their friends use (often for different reasons). That fact cannot be denied. Some of it is the "cool" factor, no doubt. I'm sorry, but it is....

    Some of it is people having different needs, for sure. I'm one of them and can't see any real reason to talk myself into buying one. Still might buy my wife one for her b-day and just get her a keyboard, as I think she'd probably like it. Can one download MS Office on it? The only downer for her is she needs to be able to view flash.

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  80. Manny - And then there's that; Apple could fall into irreverence as quickly as they have risen to dominance. Just look at Microsoft, Sony, Motorola.

    I might be a pretty big Apple Fan-boy, but I DO know how tenuous their grasp on technology leadership is! :-)

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  81. I can see that, Thor. Same with a friend of mine who's a sports doctor. He claims it's really useful for the medical field. I just don't see it's usefulness for some in the business world like me and why I'd pay up for it over a regular old laptop that works just fine.

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  82. The market is holding up quite well here. We could still see another test of the lows while consolidating these losses. After doing my homework I will update everyone with anything interesting that I see.

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  83. Motorola and Nokia. I must google them to find out what they once did. : )

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  84. Let's see if it can pop over 1290.00 ES.

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  85. Greg - Hah, talk about coincidence. One of the help desk guys just came over to show us how he got those little wireless keyboards Apple Macs to work on an iPhone! Useless, but interesting to see, and more impressive, how easily it was to set up on the iPhone!

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  86. Manny, if you get one for your wife and download MS office on it, you are dead to me, Shame, SHAME!

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  87. Greg - I'll bet you 20 bucks Apple eventually ends up killing Flash, or reducing it's prevalence so much that Adobe will be forced to re-build the application to Apple's liking. The larger a market share Apple builds in the tablet market the more companies will be forced to use something other than flash for no other reason than because they want the 20 million or so iPad users to use their websites. . . .

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  88. @greg: I hear you, but she, like me, is a dinosaur that wants and uses MS Office. I actually tried to advise against it and wish I didn't have to use it either.

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  89. OR - Apple could just use all those billions of dollars to buy Adobe. They're certainly in need of some help, their applications are becoming so bulky and overloaded with meaningless features they're going to have to have some serious re-writing of the code. At least for Photoshop and InDesign. You'd think Adobe would know better given their history with InDesign and how it pretty much killed Quark after a few years.

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  90. Tsunami video with sound. Scary!

    http://www.facebook.com/video/video.php?v=1605260179420&comments

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  91. Flash is dead, they just haven't had the funeral yet. Just another company run by someone with absolutely no vision. I don't think rebuilding to Apple's liking would help them, as I think Apple's committed to HTML5.

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  92. @Mannwich:
    I don't think all Apple Apps multitask yet, and the popup event notifications are very annoying.

    Plus, here in Asia, especially when eating indonesian food, you use your hands and you sweat a lot. It makes the screen unreadable in sunlight.

    BUT

    A young lady on the MRT was flashing her iPad around, and checking out who was watching, and believe me, almost *all* the guys (kind of her age) were.

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  93. @greg
    If AAPL would decide to use a processor with power, they wouldn't have any issue with flash.

    However, their battery life already sucks.

    My Kindle goes for 4 days on one charge. I can read the news, my books,and it's soooooo thin.

    However, it won't get me any dates.

    Ok, ok, go ahead, say it. An iPad wouldn't get me any dates either......

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  94. Manny, here you go.

    http://www.apple.com/retail/jointventure/?aosid=p204&siteid=1503186&program_id=2554&cid=OAS-EMEA-AFF&tduid=ae345b36f0bd9c225bc5485599af1e27

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  95. Rock, kindle might get you a date if you were to flash it around in a bowling alley or a Nascar event.

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  96. Rock - The i7 is a pretty darn fast processor. We certainly wouldn't try to run Photoshop or FinalCut Pro on a PC with the chips Dell uses.

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  97. Greg - Hah, you and I are the Apple Dynamic Duo.

    There's an ancient Apple reference in that comment if you know their history ;-)

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  98. @Thor
    I run Photoshop CS on a dell. It runs flash, too.

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  99. Must step out for a while. Thor I leave it to you to defend with all vigour any real or perceived insult to The Company. I know I leave this in more than capable hands.

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  100. Interesting finish. Still a pretty damn resilient market.

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  101. @Greg:
    The reason HTML5 exists is almost the same reason flash exists: to get around the licensing fee for MPEG.

    The reason flash doesn't work so well on the iPad (works fine on the Apple notebooks, right?) is because mpeg and flash compute the next "segment" of the image based on the results of the previous computation. For good resolution, it is compute intensive, and memory interface intensive. That's the reason the display architecture uses gart tables and switches image display/image creation memory blocks. The iPad and iPhone processor can't do that.

    I suspect that when HTML5 gets out there, to get the same picture quality, you will have the same problem, because flash is only a couple of % faster than MPEG, and DivX is only 10% better that MPEG (but only on movies).

    BTW, does the iPad run DivX? I doubt it, but I don't know.

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  102. Pretty good discussion at TBP yesterday with some incisive comments.

    Clawbacks....

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  103. So, the market decides to take oil higher and there goes SU with it.


    ICan

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  104. OH! We saw both Battle: LA and Red Riding Hood this weekend. Save your money and wait for Netflix The only good parts of Battle: LA are in the previews.

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  105. Thor,

    I read a review of LA and the reviewer said that the movie was so bad they were disappointed when the aliens lost.

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  106. NIKKEI getting crushed again, down over 5%. Now almost below 9K. Wow. Cramer's buying though.

    Cramer's 'Mad Money' Recap: Japan -- I'm a Buyer (Final)

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  107. "Libyan rebels urge west to assassinate Gaddafi".

    "Saudi troops enter Bahrain".

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/

    ICan

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  108. @Rock, while I appreciate your explanation, being somewhat computer illiterate I have no understanding of what you said, and that I think explains something of the computer world. You see I believe there are a lot more people like me, than there are of you, and here's what we want. We want the computer to work. Remember the old days when videos used to buffer? I recall thinking why can't they make it so they don't do this, and somehow they managed to pretty much overcome this. I could care less how they did it because that's not what interests me or I would suggest, most computer users. If Steve Jobs says that flash is not as good as it can be, I'll believe him over the guy running Adobe, as I don't believe he would say this if flash was not presenting any problems. Now you no doubt could argue technically why Apple should have flash on the ipad but I would argue again that the sales numbers indicate strongly that most people don't care. If they wanted in on the ipad, Adobe should have made sure it works properly. That's their job, not Apples. Just my opinion of course.

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  109. Microsoft officially kills Zune according to Cult of Mac. And so it continues.

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  110. Denise - all the good scenes were in the trailer, everything else was mostly a bunch of soldiers running through streets that are obviously not LA shooting at things you get to see only glimpses of. Worst part, was that the city this all takes place in is the one I work in - Santa Monica. So I spent most of the movie complaining about what a shitty job they did at hiding the fact that they shot this in Louisiana. Even the story itself was stupid, the aliens come here because they want our liquid water. Apparently the aliens are smart enough to figure out how to travel between the planets, but not smart enough to figure out how to melt a comet!

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  111. Denise - And look at after hours . . . .down 90. Ouch.

    Greg - Flash really is a POS piece of software. Poorly written, bloated, and buggy. You're right though, most consumers just want their stuff to work.

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  112. Japan PM says high risk radiation has leaked from Fukushima plant, urges calm -marketwatch.com


    ICan

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  113. Thor, everybody knows comet water does not taste good, not good at all.

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  114. Greg - oh yes I know - that's still not going to discourage me from figuring out a way to sell it to the uber rich someday ;-)

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  115. Thor,

    We liked "The Adjustment Bureau" and also the very dumb but funny "Cedar Rapids" but both could wait for Netflix.

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  116. Oh I don't know if I'll be able to wait for Adjustment Bureau, that's too up my ally for me to skip, even if it's bad!

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  117. I am about as computer illiterate as they come and I just want everything to work as if my husband ever dies I will be sitting in front of useless equipment that I cannot make work.

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  118. No, the Adjustment Bureau was very well done for scify. I really liked Matt Damon with Emily Blunt, great chemistry. Plus Cedar Rapids was very well cast.

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  119. "Tokyo streets and shops empty and the air is heavy with fear".

    http;//www.guardian co.uk/world/2011/mar/14

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  120. I heard that on the radio on my way home from work tonight! Most of the stores are already out of food! I wonder how much of that might be hoarding? Their ports and railroads are all ok aren't they?

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  121. Dow down almost 1% and falling.

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  122. Gold, Oil down, Yen, Ten Year up.

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  123. The understatement of the entire Japanese crisis:

    Japan: New radiation leaks harmful to health

    SOMA, Japan – Radiation is spewing from damaged reactors at a crippled nuclear power plant in tsunami-ravaged northeastern Japan in a dramatic escalation of the 4-day-old catastrophe. The prime minister has warned residents to stay inside or risk getting radiation sickness.

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  124. A few interesting ETF's that were up today and look technically strong:

    KOL +2.36%
    XOP +1.48%
    FCG +1.27%
    THD +.92%
    RSX +.60%
    XLE +.55%

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  125. New lows. Might see that 1260 tonight if this keeps going.

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  126. Tomorrow is going to be a blood bath.

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  127. Are we going to give back the entire 2011 advance? We are close to the opening price on the S&P for 2011.

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  128. Tonight is the bloodbath, tomorrow we will have to see.

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  129. Wonder if this is going to have an effect on the nuclear industry's plans in this country... Naw, this is America, we'll forget in a year.

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  130. Japan and Bahrain Oh My

    "This morning we took Japan to zero weight. This is a huge step in view of the fact that the weight of Japan in global indices is 21%. We rarely go to an extreme like this.

    As Bill Witherell wrote this morning, the Kobe quake high to low was about 25%. That was our guide.

    We totally disagree with those who said hold. (Sorry, Jim Cramer, we like you, but we are on opposite sides on this one.) It is a mistake to hold when there is an uncertain and developing negative risk. We have that in Japan. Note: measure risk by the size of the evacuation zones around the reactors. That is official feet moving not official mouths talking."

    David Kotok's take on Japan is sobering.

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  131. Thor,

    Our nation's right wing leaders are too busy trying to figure out how to blame the quake and tsunami on Obama to worry about an energy plan.

    Just ask Mitch McConnell (R-Cabbage Patch) - he said now is not the time to worry our pretty little heads about nuclear power in the US, even though we have two nuclear reactors on faults in CA, and at Yucca mountain where they store nuclear waste they found out that it sits on a fault line, too.

    Pretty soon they will be telling us that we should let the free market decide our nuclear energy programs. We don't need no stinkin' nuclear power plant regulations!

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  132. I am just sitting here watching the market collapse, too afraid to go to bed.

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  133. I'm listening to this -

    http://live.nicovideo.jp/watch/lv43296023

    They're talking about what different exposures of radiation does to the body. UGH

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  134. Ugh, this is happening, they're telling people to stay in doors, do not use your air conditioner, now talking about weather patterns and which way the wind is blowing. Now radiation levels for various cities in the area.

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  135. 1252.00 Double Oy. Maybe it will stop at the big round 1250?

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  136. This is a good news site too

    http://english.kyodonews.jp/news/

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  137. omg - after hours down -252 (seriously)

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  138. @Thor

    I've been reading that any radioactive dust carried by the jetstream would be carried to the West Coast relatively quickly. Might want to stock up.

    Black swans and all...

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  139. Emmie - what do you mean by "relatively quickly"?

    I honestly didn't even think about that! Does this nuclear plant have the kind of radiation that would go very far in the atmosphere?

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  140. Emmy,

    Any links for that information?

    Just like after 9/11 when they told the people of NY it was safe to go into that area I am suspicious of anything that our government will tell us.

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  141. 30 year bonds up 1 13/32
    10 year notes up 1 5/64
    ES`M down 2.46%

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  142. @Thor

    Nevermind, it was a false rumor. My apologies.

    It's getting hard to tell fiction from fact in this mess.

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  143. Emmie - Oh I know, I've heard at least six different possible worst case scenarios, most of which contradict each other. I'm not sure anyone knows.

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  144. Now this will help us sleep better tonight:

    Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-Let Them Eat Cake) defends foreign aid and domestic natural disaster cuts to the budget

    "But the majority leader did not back down from the House GOP's proposed budget cuts for programs that respond to natural disasters both at home and abroad. H.R. 1, which the House passed in February, would cut the U.S. Agency for International Development budget by about $121 million, or roughly 8.7 percent.

    The bill would also reduce funding for the National Weather Service by $126 million over the next six months. National Weather Service Employees Organization President Dan Sobien told HuffPost on Friday that such a cut would cause furloughs at tsunami-watching centers worldwide.

    And the bill, which failed a test vote in the Senate last week, would have cut funding for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which tracks storms for disaster preparedness, commerce and agriculture, by about $450 million. A short-term bill to fund the government, which is expected to pass later this week, would cut $99 million from NOAA's Operations, Research and Facilities budget, which critics say will threaten a much-needed overhaul of the agency's satellite system."

    You have to read the whole thing to believe it.

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  145. @Thor

    Personally, I've been listening to the "it's not that bad, trust science and engineering" types, the ones with the "Japanese engineers are awesome, they got this handled" lines. And to be honest, I'm beginning to feel like the Mad Money audience circa 2007-2008.

    And I like science and engineering types.

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  146. I have the Nikkei at 8375, can this be right, even with the limits?

    Bloomberg

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  147. Emmie, I know what you mean. This really makes me think about the place I live, as I'm sure it does you. We have more experience with hurricanes in this country, especially recently. Yet we are capable of exactly this kind of disaster, from Seattle with their mega tsunami's, then SF and LA with the earthquakes. California is a disaster waiting to happen. Our levees up near Sacramento are 100 years old and they absolutely could not withstand a severe earthquake. If those levees fail, salt water would invade the delta in poison the drinking water, as well as the main source of water for our crops, for years.

    Greg will know what Crystal Springs is, it's a reservoir just south of San Francisco that is the sole source of water for the city. It is held in place by a 100 year old concrete dam. Never retrofitted. When that goes San Francisco will be without water for years. Luckily they are able to tap the bay water for the fire hydrants if they need to put fires out.

    LA is several decades late for it's next earthquake. The last big one was in 1857 and it was an 8.25. I've mentioned it before, but if we had an earthquake in the late summer or early fall, during fire season, most of the city would burn, certainly anything in the mountains and canyons would burn.

    One day, it's gonna happen. :-/

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  148. And remember, California, even today, is responsible for a good percentage of the US economic output, even more for it's exports with all of our agriculture.

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  149. "It is held in place by a 100 year old concrete dam. Never retrofitted."

    Oy, William Mulholland built another dam?

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  150. Emmie - no joke.

    http://www.oac.cdlib.org/ark:/13030/kt25802413/?brand=oac4

    Zoom in on the people, look at the lady on the far left :-)

    http://www.hmdb.org/Photos/61/Photo61265.jpg

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